low is Asbury Giuliani and this is

inside the 2022 election Which is less than a week away pretty exciting huh I don't know watch the projection I'm spend the weekend and and much of the day study used to study in high school or college and I just completed a podcast in which I gave some predictions as to what the what is going to happen and how it's going to happen and so I thought I would share that with you and I've also been able to get a bit and I thought we'd Begin by narrowing or or a discussion then you can call me now at this point or you can

we followed this show with with a show that I do twice a week I do that every single

Tuesday and then every single Thursday and that's called cold today so

if you want as I go forward with this show putting in the microphone so you'll get better quickly if I put it on

which I'm about to do

see what happens

so

three General types of major elections coming up right at the house and the governor's the governor's races in particular what is that determine whether we get a check and a balance on on bike you can slow down when I call the Express train to a communist is if we can get control of the house and the Senate one certainly would be good to would be better than one

it would depend to a very very large extent on how big a wave with what we call Republican ways is going to be and we want to hope that it's a

I'm going to take you through right now

what I've been able to figure out about the two and and we'll see

we'll see where we are

right now if you look at the house and the Senate

it's about where we are I hope you can see this clearly

so

we got really just a couple of states that make a difference

why is it pretty much either

we've got Arizona Georgia and Wisconsin and the bottom Ohio and Pennsylvania

then on another analysis we've got

New Hampshire

Georgia

Arizona

Nevada

Pennsylvania

North Carolina that that really isn't far to Iowa and Utah or kind of strange picks so don't bother

are the states

that are roughly going to be the most

what are the states that are mostly going to be contested cigar to the chef

now you look at you look at the breakdown on the general groups that do these real clear politics poll survey

and then some more some of the lesser-known

what's 8 what's able to tell you where the next wife will spend time on her only as much as you want to

the reality is that

I want to say this carefully so I don't sound

you don't sound too confident because I never have about an election you should understand no matter who of us at prediction election we can be absolutely wrong but I would say that it would be enormous surprise if for any reason

sure help me see

so

the house is going to be other by the Republic right now then I have this

Democrat

right now I have a 220 in the house and they have two hundred and 212th and Morgan in the house of represent

so you can see the 53 Democrats 185 Republicans

the roll up for re-election

based on every available

what are the 53 Democrats will be returned to the House of Representatives and 185 Republicans

is just a teeny bit when they go to Michael

23 lightweight almost definite nobody is jump off a bridge

1776

we have two hundred and two Republican

and the question now becomes how about the even going to win but it's even

it's conceivable they can go that way right now

so now what

the way you predicted

I bet there's not more than a two or three patients from this

call Linda Wade next predicted it should be a Republican

+ 185

5 undecided

and the prediction is the Republicans are going to get 3 in the Democrats are going to get 5 so it would be 23 to 200

220 to 205 nobody if he shot

if the Democrats maintain control about that would be one of the major political shocks

recent ducks

it's a republican went from 2 to 23

it would be this number the number we're running here

the 220 that you took 23

is replacing an 8

Democrat majority

what's a 20-25 Republican majority in other words three times the Democrat majority that would be considered pretty much

the predicted apps

Beyond ridiculous would be considered a disaster for the house Democratic party and really would probably be willing

I would say we can get it down to three possibilities for the House of Representatives

most likely

when I showed it to 20

2:20 to 2:05

223

202 another words anywhere from a boat

that's a big turnaround

if it's less than that

just surprised I think the Republican way wasn't as strong as people thought that was a disappointing show showing

should the Democrats win

the house it would be a massive increase in about.

Vitamin get new one

I bet your house you better not a republican pictures

something valuable

I'd go with the 215 to 220 Republic

I say 2:40 Republicans or the house is Democrat

make a fortune

Galaxy S7 has the names of the people and the races that and has all your truck

even one look at the governorship have a couple of individuals end up being

the predictable almost guaranteed results 2520 Republic Republican

I think that's it something like that

Senate races

and I understand traces that other focus on the the Hagen Boulder Creek

Democratic senator Senator Kay Hagan from New Hampshire New Hampshire she is a 100% Biden aficionados supporter of voter CTS lately tried to claim she's more moderate Democrats because they're getting killed on the agenda that by putting the fact you make it was voting for by which I don't know why they did I don't Joe Budden to 35 years in jail by now he's not a liberal democrat or republican is whatever is good for Joe Biden at that period of time so all his life he's been pro-choice but anti Public Funding of abortion and anti late-term abortion

and now in the latter years of his life as his intellectual questions you just suddenly became a all out War meaning

it's Father's left position on abortion you could have which is due till 8 or 9 months

abortion purple leaves on the 8th and 9th month

Joey please open for the Democrats suggestion given by Governor Northam of Virginia that's a mother should have a short. Of time after burst jiggly if she's unconscious should an abortion should she go to sleep and wake up to find out that she had an extra one with bank without any much responsibility

let me no different than if you walk down the street and kill somebody else's baby

you don't have a right to kill your baby

you give you the right to kill your feet it

baby your whatever you want to call it right

were they wiped out girl babies

and I thought if I morals

murdered more of their own people not just those babies anyone else but Joe supports that Barbarian practice being able to kill a half month old baby

so

that issue that abortion issue had become a big one road was overturned in the decisions on a bushel returned to the states

Democrats overplayed it as if it was legal in a way to 75% just to kill a seven or eight months old

and B Sports

so that has created

backlash and things now are

really focused on the economy and price

call Tommy first one second

many places border thirds

watching sports chess

things are swinging Republic right now

so let's start with debate last night

and all that has virtually turn this around based on the debate he is much better today there seems brighter and sharper and answers questions where is having a baby used to be the Democratic Playbook

the debate between Joe pinion and and and and trucks and never answer the question

what is really a very very much does pausing the conservative Viewpoint in a very strong way

anybody paying attention to it because they don't think he can win or some of them because they have deals with

Joe Biden crime Bill together

but that's a definite Democrat win unless you have a miracle and sometimes we have an answer

be

critical Republican wet

right now

right now you could find a pole with her head you can find the most recent

any political expert on either side of the aisle

what's going to happen the last 45 minutes.

What's 20% more enthusiastic about him at 68% in her 20s

fascist fascist

show me Smash

it's not even a semi that much less of stash

he served this country don't think we have the right to do that or four he's finally appeared and he was a rational reasonably sensible man

Big Shot

let me go down to Georgia and reversible thing happened between Walker and Walker to answer the questions a lot more directly a lot more to Simply very little of anything including being a supporter of murdering baby at 9 months in the womb sorry I killed a woman at seven or eight months pregnant

okay

no. That women sang

we have an absolute right over that lady's child comes out of the womb

what is

something

kill the baby

abortion it was a crime

Miss murder charge

no one but the feminist movement

5060 years ago

call Danny Turner right for a mother to kill

what's in a room because she's not happy

Medical Science with would have created the

isn't that often prostituted to for the hell

happy

and I just admit that all the abortions that we had

I'm something of a role the morality and decency this country if we wonder why we're so immoral now and working fast

but I would say I think he was and I think Walker when but in a different way he may have to go to a runoff because unlike New Hampshire where the plurality winner was in there three or four or five candidates when in and if you don't you go to work

let me go to the state of Nevada were Adam laxalt is running against

that's the way to pronounce it I'll see if I can get a better price eation of it than that but

almost every call between two and five points and although it is I would mislead you if I were to say that everyone would tell you that it's over I would say that

you can be pretty

you can be pretty happy

with the the way that race is lining up and also some of the rationale race

some of that some of the Congressional races are

just about there

Congressional races are nice winds of 20 + 30 + 30% so I think that kind of I think that's kind of

I think that kind of backup

so that's why I sought against Catherine Cortez Marshalls

and she had to leave until recently and has the lead in most of the polls since the other races that are not to bother with the North Carolina I think that race is basically over and I wouldn't bother with Iowa where I've been Grassley will win

Utah with Mike Lee was

what's up in a little doubt but now he's looking at a 10 to 15% lead and there also was some sort of maybe Rubio's in Florida

Lowe's I think we can safely put in the Republican

if the Republic

when

New Hampshire

or the boss

51

what's the Democrats take a sheet away from them

so that wouldn't be Arizona because the Arizona is Arizona is represented by Kelly he's a Democrat

is a masters of those positions

once again

but you still have to win that to get a majority

they don't give up with you

where's the best place they could possibly get up

Rubio he's not going to lose Mike Lee in Utah around somebody that might be able to

Georgia Georgia the Democrat

what what happens with Georgia should the Republicans win Nevada is this is some reason they don't win Georgia

yes yes yes

Wisconsin is Ron Jon

3 weeks ago

Mandela Barnes in a bit

I don't think so

I don't think Brian Beach dance but yeah that wouldn't be the pickup they need it

now is Johnson hold on hold on

what they have

even if they sell a cell to pick up New Hampshire which they might

or Arizona which wish

which they might

what about which they might

what's a pick up one of those 351 there were only two that's it that category

Wisconsin in Pennsylvania

what what what what do you think is the one that have the best chances

where is the better chance of winning right now

don't think the Republican

when do the house to get you in this point

I think this could still go

this one could still go either either way

just want to still go

either way

I'm going to give you

what is the number

from these two from the One race that I think is really is really the key

One race that really the king

Wisconsin Ohio Pennsylvania

what's the Republican

any one of those seats

I guess they went to the Democrats

most of the Bowls have Dad

you are very hard to believe that settlement after his performance in the debate it's really almost impossible

come to the conclusion that

what if we

if we go any further than that

we don't know if we just don't know yet

so hear my ear My ultimate ultimate prediction for the wrecks

and how it's going to come out and then we'll see how close I am next week

Bianchi said that before the electric saw

I believe that the Republicans will win New Hampshire

I believe they'll take Georgia but I'm taking it and run off 50 and Walker will be in a runoff

I believe black salt will win now to get the Republicans 252 with there are no other changed

I do not believe that settlement will be able to be black so I really think the performance in the debate

so shockingly irresponsible that he has no no chance at all

we already put away the ones that were raised as issues but

really are Florida Iowa Utah State Republican

right now I would say

we have a one-vote margin inside for a drink

and then by December to vote margin in the Senate

if we can also pick up George and we also pick up Arizona

now we have a sleepover

I got to go take something back

architect Wisconsin back Johnson ass at

Ohio back band has it

I don't think they got to take Pennsylvania back off

Democrats

talk to Betty 47

Republicans have 63 and that's the end of it

comes up side vote margin

send it

it's something very drastic would have to happen between now and then to think that

my predictions for the for the house about 2:15 to 2:20 Republican and this would be

53 Republic

we have a few minutes we have robbed

what we put raw bombing a good time with Rob last night

I'm here how are you I'm good how you doing I'm doing fine. That was the other night I couldn't believe it it was great

shout out I'd like to shout out to Chad Goodman Justine Marie and dr. Maria Ryan of course with a grape

great team effort

go tell him what it was

well yeah we were we all convened at Restaurant Staten Island for the zeldin rally and we started off with the show here on BBS and I says to Rudy

it went when he put me in we got dog.day past me into Rudy and I'm like Rudy I'm out in front of the restaurant right now for the zeldin rally and he says well how's that possible the restaurant will do the show from right here in at the exactly what we did

yeah I was amazed I was amazed it was a great time now what do you think about when you were there and we haven't talked about what did you think about Sheldon and you think he's going to have a chance of beating

well if if there is no Shenanigans I think it's certainly important to the people in Staten Island I mean these people

they were having none of it when when the name Hogle came up you heard blues and Oz and who's from the crowd and

and then and then and then when you went up and spoke Rudy I'll let me tell you everybody was listening to this if you ever want to watch a professional work you got to watch Rudy oh my God I couldn't believe how many people can watch it we put it out there today. Yet at the podcast it's on Rudy giuliani's pbs.com pbs.com and put it on your gift you get part of the speed she'll get part of the cells and you also see some of the most exceptional people the people of the Staten Island on my board you know with the Senate races that I see bands in Ohio here

every time I'm in Staten Island I think I'm I'm in Ohio

that doesn't have like a big question feeling to it

by the time the night was over I felt like I want to move to Staten Island to go out there they say you're getting old now, and they have a very fine not so terribly expensive

terribly expensive

Corsair to the Richmond Country Club and then they have three very very nice golf courses so you really do feel like you're living in a suburb or you living in the Midwest

registration is at wildly Republic I don't know maybe bike for 5% separate the registration of Republicans Or democrats but I got 80% of the vote as the first Republican to run into generation

and only the third Republican to win in the 20th century

and only the second to remain a Republican

and 67% of the vote by 2%

my campaign manager of the liberal party but she came up to me and said he came up to me and said don't worry I don't think anybody will every once in awhile but what does all this debate about machines you know but there are actually Eric's

what's the temperature

I have to be a certain number of people who vote mistakenly for the wrong person

people make mistakes about a smarter as careful people make mistakes but every day everything like five

do people have to make wrong so let's say I want to go in and vote for Zelda

I brush them distracted and I somehow put the little 0 and I still win

Uncle Buck

I wonder what the margin of error

so

some of the others were really only one thing right now that's the prizes

how the heck is Fatima not wizard

isn't that unbelievable at

I think if you want to chill

I spent just because I get yours about these things and dr. Maria explain myself so I go on dementia

and it's still like

every symptom because he hasn't stopped talking yet

he looks around finishes his talkin about

you just confused you can't remember except

very smart he thinks for them is a smart guy

you know it made me

maybe we need an interpreter

I have to remind of you know that he's the president and the vice president president again he doesn't he does it again and again how bad can you be and you are you can only imagine the beating he must have taken from his Handler has his people every time he makes a critical blunder and then once you do a week later returns when does the same damn thing again

do you think they get off that or do you think that you're taking the drive now

but it'd be ridiculous to get all upset I mean they use them

I think they're adorable

what the hell did you ask somebody

yeah well they don't seem to love anybody that group of people at that party you know they bite and does the same thing to his song that the that the that the Democrats are doing the fetterman right now they they couldn't care if they drop dead as long as they of accomplish that goal like I guess I guess I don't know I'm just you know waiting on his bureau

you know it'll be where you think your job

get the seat to get the seat for us

too bad you drop dead because you put you under stress after I have you can't deny the fact that must have been a terrible straws

Strokes I see Strokes

25% of the people together within a year

what's The Strokes eyes of the percentage goes up so he's got to be in that group so basically he's looking at a pretty good chance of another stroke now or in the next

and they're looking at the American people and you know I would think they would want to sell themselves as leadership that has high performance that can perform well for the American people I mean what what is what is the criteria for voting on these people anymore if this is what the people use again the lowering the bar of what people even have the vote for the Youth vote for one idiot or if you don't like that one vote for this idiot but don't expect us to give you a qualified candidate

I don't know what they would do in the Democrat Party

AOC even know history

Biden and Obama have gotten the number of states that they can't get it so I don't know what's wrong with Obama but this is the second time he can't remember the 50 states they don't like the United States so much they think they don't bother to memorize these things about the United States wonderful, bubbly true how many I bet he knows how many

how many provinces there are in China

got a lot of money but I'm going to have to sign off now

okay tell people that hang on which will be back in about 5 minutes but we got it we got to sign off and we'll be back from PBS next week on Tuesday at 5:06 and by that time but I'll give you my last minute for diction figure out some kind of debt and I'll keep what I did here and we'll see how would change its okay so I bought it already I voted yesterday I'm going to urge all of you to go out and vote I do Republicans in particular do you like to vote early

from Sheldon actually told the crowd that Republicans are voting early in very large numbers which particularly for republicans

I don't think we trust the fact that if we spoke before election day gets counted maybe a dozen or so I'm going to sign off now and will be back with the show next week

on Thursday between 5 and 6 but I will be there between 6 and 7 thank you very much